Posted 20 hours ago

How Spies Think: Ten Lessons in Intelligence

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The meat of the content is contained in the first 4 chapters, where the author expresses their explanatory 'SEES' model. Both have a similar kind of message that one needs to be careful with the world when surrounded and bombarded with information from various sources, with various degrees of freedom and truthfulness. Other mistakes include assuming your opponent will treat facts the same way as you (mirror imaging) or assess situations like you (transferred judgement).

Wielrenners kennen het begrip ‘vals plat’: een klim die visueel niet meteen als zodanig valt te onderkennen totdat kuitspieren en longen de eerste protesten doorgeven. Zijn SEES-model laat in wezen zien wat analisten doen als zij ontwikkelingen en gebeurtenissen in de wereld onderzoeken. For me, the most memorable advice was from Omand's former boss, Jack Straw: ‘when in doubt, do the right thing’. From the former director of GCHQ, Professor Sir David Omand, learn the methodology used by British intelligence agencies to reach judgements, establish the right level of confidence and act decisively. Recommended for anyone interested in intelligence analysts, intelligence history, or being a bit more intelligent about their own understanding of world events.This seems important: in seeking to heal civil society of the sickness of disinformation, Sir David et al. Het hellende vlak kan als tegenhanger daarvan worden beschouwd; het kan even duren voordat de neergaande ervaring als zodanig wordt onderkend, maar dan is de afbrokkeling al wel een feit en is men dus te laat.

Wederzijds vertrouwen en aantoonbare betrouwbaarheid zijn volgens Omand overigens ook onontbeerlijk voor het smeden van succesvolle partnerschappen in internationale inlichtingenkringen. De wil om optimistisch te eindigen lijkt hier misschien wat sterker te zijn geweest dan de kracht van de analyse. Omand besteedt daarnaast veel tijd aan de logica van gehanteerde aannames en gevolgtrekkingen (“assumptions and inferences”).As a librarian I was intrigued to discover that skills used by 'spies' are often put in to play by librarians the world over.

Generally the event or person never disclose the real truth coz you always see through your linear mind. The message here is that certain aspects of intelligence / counterintelligence do not change, they only make use of new technology. I think that this would have been a great easy read on a transatlantic flight, were we not in the middle of the pandemic.

On partnerships, Omand suggests that purely transactional arrangements may bring short-term results but will fail at times when one partner needs more than the other. I choć czytałam je z dużym zainteresowaniem, to mózg mi parował w przyswajaniu tego wszystkiego i próbie przekonwertowania na moje życie codzienne. Sedition and subversion have happened throughout history between and by nations, but the fact that it now no longer requires agents on the ground has changed the game.

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